One of my favorite lines recently is "We are all currency traders now". As we roll through the newest Euro-trouble, perhaps it is wise to see what has happened since the last european "issue", namely Greece.
Since the bottoming of the Euro on June 8th, the S&P is up 12% and S&P midcap growth is up 18%.
Am I saying that this will happen again? No, decidedly not, as better earnings and US QEx has helped propel the markets forward. What I am trying to point out is that the recovery from "dark days I or DD1" has been robust. I would expect that recovery from "dark days II or DD2" will be decent as well.
I am looking at the following positions to benefit from "DD2":
Long FXE
Long FEZ (wouldn't mind shorting SPY into this leg, but I am a "long only" guy)
I will be playing with tight stops as I expect Portugal will offer us a "DD3" opportunity.
Thoughts?
DISCLOSURE: No positions as of writing.
No comments:
Post a Comment