Monday, January 10, 2011

Portugal - Dominoes are Tipping

More on Portugal from Reuters.  As I have been stating, a Portugese bailout is all but done.  I found the comments from Spain somewhat amusing as they have the most to prove and the most to lose.  Another day in the trenches.


As much as it makes me fundamentally nauseous, long USD, short EUR, long UST, short beta.

The European Central Bank threw Portugal a temporary lifeline on Monday by buying up its bonds, traders said, as market and peer pressure mounted for Lisbon to seek an international bailout soon.
A senior euro zone source told Reuters on Sunday that Germany, France and other euro zone countries were pushing Portugal to seek an EU-IMF assistance program, following Greece and Ireland, in a bid to prevent contagion spreading to much larger Spain, the fourth biggest economy in the euro area.
The interest rate premium on Portuguese sovereign debt fell on Monday after rising sharply late last week as traders said the ECB intervened to buy government bonds on the secondary market.
"They're buying five-years and 10-years in Portugal, whatever people are offering really," one trader said.
Another trader said the ECB appeared to be buying Greek and Irish bonds too. EU sources say the central bank has not yet bought Spanish government debt.
Spanish Economy Minister Elena Salgado said Portugal did not need to apply for aid because it was meeting its commitments to reduce its budget deficit. And the European Commission said no discussion was currently under way on assistance for Portugal or any other country. Spain knows it is next!

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About Me

A student of the markets that has held portfolio management, analysis and trading positions for over 15 years.